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    AAPL July 17 372c

    Click image for larger version  Name:	Screen Shot 2020-06-28 at 11.11.11 AM.png Views:	19 Size:	323.1 KB ID:	1003 so my thoughts are as follows... we have well defined support line, proven at 321.05, 331.17, 345.64 more or less... and we break through support at 358.16. so now support becomes resistance.

    and that line trends up $2.50 a day more or less... yielding +40% return per contract if we reach our new resistance level (368) on July 7, for example, which is not unreasonable if we see an uptrend take root early next week.

    now, we could conceivably buy a July 10 contract for 370 strike and if we hit the forecast resistance point of 368 on July 7, we still see +40% returns, but this contract costs about 25% more than the July 17 contract and one of the best things you can do when purchasing options is to purchase time. so the July 17 expiration is the same reward with less risk.

    obviously if we never see confirmation from AAPL that its beginning its uptrend, im not entering the trade, but if things stabilize monday and we see positive indicators, this is an easy set it and forget it swing trade. ill just set an alarm for AAPL reaching 365'ish and if we reject and reverse once it touches that resistance area, i exit the trade at profit. otherwise i ride it out until it loses steam.

    x factors: VIX crushes, trump sneezing in front of the cameras, literally anything powell says or does.
    Last edited by sonatine; 07-13-2020, 11:48 AM.

  • #2
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    that red line is the resistance line i mentioned. obviously the big money question is, do we bounce off it and retrace or do we push through it.

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    • #3
      Click image for larger version  Name:	Screen Shot 2020-06-29 at 12.01.01 PM.png Views:	0 Size:	264.9 KB ID:	1131

      lol goddamned.

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      • #4
        derp edit:

        picked up 1 contracts this morning at 6.15, it's up about 30% so far. id like to let it run all day and see what shakes out but im also keeping an eye on QQQ for trend reversals. im very comfortable taking profit soon.
        Last edited by sonatine; 06-29-2020, 01:50 PM.

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        • #5
          if we can break through to like 361.50 at close, ill be much more inclined to let them ride until their thursday expiration.

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          • #6
            +40.25%

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            • #7
              Click image for larger version

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              so as discussed, support has become resistance. we had a false breakout followed by a retracement followed by another failed test followed by a retracement.

              with this much intertia, its hard to imagine we wont continue to test resistance until we break through in earnest but if we drop below 360, im going to cash out up 20% and call it a win.

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              • #8
                Click image for larger version

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                by 3pm we should know which way this is breaking. thats a really exciting compression pattern coming to a head.

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                • #9
                  Out +24.60%

                  this was one of those 'i dont know where i am in this hand' moments. the stock is definitely going to 365 if the market doesnt drag it down, and the SPX is acting like the market wants to drag it down.

                  honestly i just dont want to gamble. if SPX was moving in my direction consistently id stay in this trade indefinitely because seriously, AAPL absolutely 100% wants to test highs.

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                  • #10
                    Click image for larger version

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                    where we dumped our position.

                    obv it will reverse and moon soon but still feels good.

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                    • #11
                      Bravo

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                      • sonatine
                        sonatine commented
                        Editing a comment
                        curtsey

                    • #12
                      so apples trending up but still hasnt really penetrated resistance. ill be keeping an eye on it tomorrow morning.

                      if we do see it test 372, a july 2 contract at current strike pays out just over 100%, setting aside vix drama..

                      working against us is the diminished volume this week (short week?), plus we've had 2 days of reasonably strong growth.. so we really could see another one of these flirty little retracements off 366.. but if it looks like SPX is going to carry it up past 366.5, for example, im entering a position because every dollar after that is paying out like +13%.


                      Click image for larger version  Name:	Screen Shot 2020-06-30 at 5.01.09 PM.png Views:	0 Size:	303.5 KB ID:	1166

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                      • #13
                        $aapl buyer 1.4 million premium October 420 calls

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                        • #14





                          bruh....

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                          • #15
                            apple + huyundai .. hyundai... whatever are looking to sign an autonomous car development deal shortly.

                            [x] moon

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