PFE is absolutely printing so I'm going to let it cook overnight... PTON is just kinda men at +1.98% over the day, but I'm not finding lots of reasons to dump... ROKU appears to have pulled back for consolidation.. its a July 31 expiration so I think I can ride this out and jump off at +160 before it expires.
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PFE up about 1.8% overnight and its got a ton of even, steady momentum behind it. ROKU up about .7% premarket.. seems to have strong support, hopefully its consolidating for another big push but we shot off a lot of momentum on yesterday's surge.. I will likely cash out if we hit 156+ again today then reposition on a pullback but I'm prepared for another slightly red close Thursday/Friday and a surge to 163+ early next week.
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lol exited roku at 5.55, so about $55 profit there. i'll take it. PFE up 73% so far but its running out of steam so I just took profits there as well.
PTON contract up 11% but its also starting to fail and if it touches EMA im bailing and looking for better opportunities.
tabbed back and PTON was pushing through EMA, dumped at something like -3% on contract, i can deal with that.
$1125.05
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so this is exactly what im talking about with roku.
shorter consolidation = less amplitude in those peaks. if we had just simmered until tomorrow/monday we would have easily broken 162.
obviously it could reverse and blow through that range any time now, its a volatile stock that likes to run, but thats a lot of risk to entertain when we have the option to get out clean with solid 10-12% profit.
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took a few swing positions and a spy scalp this morning.
GLD 185c 7/31 2x
SWBI 30c 8/21 10x
GLD.. the fintwit libertarians are amplifying the 'metals = new bitcoin' narrative and i think its got enough inertia behind it to carry it but im getting a bit nervous.. sellers are stacking up to take profits in the face of a strong market upturn and im down about 15% on it so far so im keeping an eye on it to see which direction it breaks in.
SWBI is a longer swing for me.. the spread on the 8/21 options was like .55/.35 when i got involved so i was pretty much down 25% the second i entered the position but i have a lot of time to catch up.
if we close out at the resistance level, those contracts pay out something like +1025%. at support level they pay out around +150%. with earnings coming up, its hard to find reasons for it to break through that resistance level so it feels like a comfortable spot.
in other news, grabbed 11 spy 324c 7/27 contracts at .13 and cashed them out at around +126% 45 minutes later, which offset a lot of the SWBI spread damage.. made another +15% off a 7/31 contract just in case the longer positions went south, insuring i have like 35% of my account cash to recover with.
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scalped spy for a quick $35 or so, dumped GLD a bit soon but also at a modest $25 profit or so.. SWBI calls = sucking literally all the dicks and is down about 40%.. but with another 3.5 weeks to expiration, im not going to make any hasty decisions. the average positive day since may 1 is 60 cents, which means we're two positive days away from another 1 year high, and we are still in its support/resistance corridor:
if we drop below 23.50 ill start getting nervous. a reversal to 26.5 - 27 by friday would be entirely within character tho.
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got slick on a dotm same day straddle when i realized the fed was announcing rates today, accent on the long side. closed out the long position at like +87% and rolled it into a 7/31 long.
holding short leg at -70%. up about $75 on the books. pretty much freerolling at this point, i just need to be ready to pull the eject cord on the long if the market plunges at the 2pm announcement.
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+130 or so, rode the fed announcement/powell riff up, flattened all spy positions after the new cdc report hit the wires.
SWBI had a good positive day but not enough to scale up past theta/vega, still -200 / -36.36%. good momentum tho and heading in the right direction.
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eeked out another green day somehow. straddled spy early on, ended up in some weird beneficial vix crush where my long leg was down 25% and my short was up 125%. cashed out the short, long actually retraced another 10% and decided to cash out until i saw another push. got in another spy scalp for +45% around 11am.. entered a PTON long for a couple of contracts and am praying that somehow my SWBI options recover but current value is $1396.61, with $966.61 in cash.
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