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someone posted this ES trade from this morning and im kinda bugging out on it

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  • someone posted this ES trade from this morning and im kinda bugging out on it

    so after markets opened back up at 6pm yesterday, we saw ES open at around 3843.

    hour later, bumps against the 100 SMA, rejects, slides/chops down to 3830, tests SMA again around 10pm, chops for a few hours without ever breaking through, then continues to bottom out until 8am:



    8am, MACD shows a move to the buy side and we break through SMA.

    so this is where, if i'd been paying attention to this, i would have entered a long position. we have a really strong breakthrough of the SMA after a period of consolidation.

    but this guy caught something really slick:

    Click image for larger version

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    that white horizontal line starts on the left where ES failed to break through SMA and capitulated. this guy figured that this is logically where this formation will reverse.

    aka a cup and handle:

    https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/cupandhandle.asp

    Click image for larger version

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    so he entered a short position at 3835 and was able to ride it over 10 points, right down to where it tested the SMA.

    naturally people started suck dicking him over it and he was just like 'what... this is really basic shit' and hes right. but so few of us took the time to study the charts this morning with the right eyes. like myself included.

    but yeah i thought the physics of this trade was really beautiful honestly. very artful.

  • #2
    like a bit of perspective here; if you entered that position with OTM SPY put spreads this morning, you could have cashed them out like 40 minutes later for about an 80% profit.

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